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In addition, NPDsolarbuzz said that the strong demand for solar panels has mainly driven the demand for solar grade polysilicon. However, the demand track of polysilicon and photovoltaic terminal markets is not always exactly the same.
From the production of polysilicon to the fabrication of silicon wafers and cell sheets, and then assembled into components and shipped through distribution channels, it usually takes three to six months. In a rapidly expanding market, this time lag will drive demand for polysilicon higher than component demand.
At the same time, the average amount of silicon used in solar modules is also decreasing. From 2005 to the end of 2014, the average use of solar module silicon materials will drop by 55% to about 5 g / watt. This downward trend will continue, but the speed will slow, as many methods of reducing the amount of silicon used are nearing the limit.
The strong demand in the solar photovoltaic terminal market will continue to drive the growth of polysilicon production. Correspondingly, the increase in production and quality of polysilicon will also help reduce component costs and increase component efficiency, thereby increasing the profitability of the solar photovoltaic industry in 2014 and stimulating demand in the end market in the next few years.
According to the report, there are currently 4,300 commercial and public utility power plants in the leading solar PV countries, of which nearly half are between 250 kW and 5 MW.
The countries with leading global solar PV demand include: five major countries in the Asia-Pacific region (China, Japan, India, Thailand and Australia), four European countries (Germany, UK, Italy and France) and North America (USA and Canada). NPDSolarbuzz predicts that PV demand in these countries' end markets will account for more than 80% of the global market in the next five years.
The total project reserve of the leading solar PV countries has reached nearly 95GW, of which 68% are large-scale power plants with more than 50MW, but the number is less than 500. NPDSolarbuzz analysts said that projects below 5MW are easier to obtain approval, have shorter completion times, and are more favored by suppliers and developers.
China, Japan and the United States are expected to boost solar PV installations in the next five years. Currently, these three leading PV countries have more than 3,600 projects with more than 250KW, with a total scale of about 65GW. NPDSolarbuzz predicts that 24 GW of commercial and utility power stations will be built in 2014.
2014 solar polysilicon market demand analysis
According to NPDsolarbuzz's latest global PV project tracking report, solar and semiconductor grade polysilicon demand is expected to rise sharply to 282,000 tons in 2014, an increase of 25% over last year. The main reason for the sharp increase in demand for polysilicon is the increase in shipments of PV modules in the end market. In 2014, solar PV module shipments are expected to reach nearly 49 GW.